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WebPolymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9M
3+ hour, 42+ min ago (141+ words) Rongchai Wang Jul 15, 2026 16:22 A report said United Torah Judaism chair Moshe Gafni threatened to vote against a bill weakening the attorney general after ultra-Orthodox kindergarten funding was pulled from the agenda. Polymarket traders are pricing Gadi Eizenkot as the leading…...
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmented
5+ hour, 39+ min ago (177+ words) Alvin Lang Jul 15, 2026 16:16 The DCCC chair predicted Democrats will retake the House in a new report, framing Trump’s record as a central messaging target heading into 2026. Polymarket’s 2028 presidential winner market is pricing a fragmented field, with JD Vance leading at…...
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikes
5+ hour, 30+ min ago (272+ words) blockchain.news Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikes Ted Hisokawa Jul 15, 2026 12:19 A report says the U.S. military reimposed a blockade on Iranian ports and launched hours-long strikes on dozens of targets after attacks on ships transiting the Strait…...
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18% on $17.5M volume
10+ hour, 10+ min ago (198+ words) Joerg Hiller Jul 15, 2026 08:33 A Mexico updates feed this week featured South Texas flood warnings, ICE-custody death probes, and 2026 World Cup ticket and fan-event items, with no mention of Russian leadership. Polymarket traders are pricing an 18% chance that Vladimir Putin is…...
Polymarket odds put Farage at 96% in Clacton by-election market
10+ hour, 44+ min ago (217+ words) Rongchai Wang Jul 15, 2026 08:40 After an ICE agent fatally shot Colombian national Joan Sebastián Guerrero in Maine, a fundraiser has raised nearly $300,000 and ICE reportedly paused most vehicle stops amid the investigation. Polymarket traders are pricing the Clacton by-election winner market…...
Polymarket odds hit 99.95% for Iran Gulf action by July 9 after Trump remarks
1+ day, 17+ hour ago (150+ words) Rongchai Wang Jul 14, 2026 02:20 In an Oval Office media conference, President Donald Trump said the US should be paid by wealthy Gulf oil producers to secure the Strait of Hormuz from Iran and warned of another “major attack” on A report…...
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% as 2028 leader, Trump at 1.35%
1+ day, 17+ hour ago (181+ words) Jessie A Ellis Jul 14, 2026 02:13 Donald Trump is expected to give a prime-time speech focusing on Iran and election integrity, a scheduled event that leaves room for markets to handicap expectations beforehand. On Polymarket’s “Presidential Election Winner 2028” market, the current leader…...
Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19.5% after Iran escalation
1+ day, 19+ hour ago (147+ words) Alvin Lang Jul 14, 2026 00:24 The US carried out a third straight night of strikes in Iran, as Donald Trump warned Tehran it would be “hit hard” and a naval blockade was reinstated. On Polymarket, the “Putin out as President of Russia…...
Polymarket holds 9% odds on Israel genocide guilty ruling by 2027
2+ day, 1+ hour ago (192+ words) Rongchai Wang Jul 13, 2026 18:09 Israeli drone attacks and gunfire in Gaza reportedly killed at least five people, including a nine-year-old girl, even as ceasefire talks continue. On Polymarket, traders are still pricing a 9% chance that an international court will find Israel…...
Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation
2+ day, 20+ hour ago (140+ words) Alvin Lang Jul 12, 2026 22:03 Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv and Odesa this week, with Ukraine reporting injuries and deaths, as Zelenskyy pressed NATO on commitments amid dwindling munitions. Polymarket traders are pricing a higher chance that Vladimir Putin is out…...